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Demography/Population Studies Preliminary Examination
Reading List - May 2006

The following items should be regarded as a core list of readings for the doctoral qualifying examination in Demography/Population Studies.  Persons preparing for the examination should also be familiar with articles that have appeared in Demography, Population and Development Review, and Population Studies in the five years preceding the examination.

NATURE OF THE FIELD

Gelbard, A., Haub, C., Kent M. 1999. “World Population Beyond Six Billion”. Population Bulletin 54:1.

Livi-Bacci, Massimo.  1997. A Concise History of World Population. Cambridge, MA:Blackwell.

Malthus, Thomas R. "A Summary View of the Principle of Population" in D.V. Glass,
Introduction to Malthus, pp. 117-87. (Malthus' own summary of his theory, as written for the Encyclopedia Britannica a few years before his death.)

Namboodiri, Krishnan.  1996. A Primer of Population Dynamics. New York: Plenum.  A volume in the Plenum Series in Demographic Methods and Population Analysis.
Van Dalen, H. P., Henkens, K. 1999. “How Influential Are Demography Journals?”.  Population and  Development Review 25: 229-251.

Articles by Bogue, Teachman et al., Keyfitz, Crimmins and Preston in Volume 30 Number 4 of Demography (reviews and appraisals of the field in honor of Demography’s 30th year)

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FERTILITY AND FAMILY FORMATION
Bongaarts, John and Robert G. Potter. 1983. Fertility, Biology, and Behavior: An Analysis of the Proximate Determinants. New York: Academic Press.
Bongaarts, John and Susan C. Watkins. 1996. “Social interactions and contemporary fertility transitions.” Population and Development Review 22:639-682

Bumpass, Larry L. 1990 "What's happening to the family? Interactions between demographic and institutional change." Demography 27:483-498.

Caldwell, John C. 1982. Theory of Fertility Decline. New York: Academic Press.

Casterline, John B., Ronald D. Lee, and Karen A. Foote (Eds.). 1996. “Fertility in the United States.” A Supplement to Vol. 22, 1996, Population and Development Review. Especially Chapter 1 by Morgan.

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Cherlin, Andrew J. 1992. Marriage, Divorce, Remarriage. Cambridge, MA:  Harvard University Press.

Cleland, John and Chris Scott (Eds.) 1987. The World Fertility Survey: An Assessment. Oxford: Oxford University Press. [Parts I, VII, VIII].

Easterlin, Richard A. 1982. Birth and Fortune: The Impact of Numbers of Personal Welfare. Edition, New York: Academic Press.

Knodel, John and Etienne van de Walle. 1979."Lessons from the past: Policy implications of historical fertility studies." Population and Development Review 5:217-245.

Mason, Karen O. 1997. “Explaining fertility: Toward a new consensus.” Demography 34:443-454.

Morgan, S. Philip. (2003). " Is Low Fertility a Twenty-First-Century Demographic Crisis?" Demography 40(4): 589-603.

Morgan, S. Philip. (1996). "Characteristic Features of Modern American Fertility." Population and Development Review 22(Supplement: Fertility in the United States: New Patterns, New Theories): 19-63.

Oppenheimer, Valerie Kincade. 1994. "Women's rising employment and the future of the family in industrial societies." Population and Development Review 20:293-342.

Potts, Malcolm. 1997. “Sex and the birth rate.” Population and Development Review 23:1-39.

Rindfuss, Ronald. R., K. B. Guzzo, and S. Philip Morgan (2003). "The Changing Institutional Context of Low Fertility." Population Research and Policy Review 22(5-6): 411-438.

Thornton, Arland. (2001). "The Developmental Paradigm, Reading History Sideways, and Family Change." Demography 38(4): 449-467. (Also see:

Thornton, A. (2005). Reading History Sideways. Chicago, University of Chicago Press.)

van de Walle, Etienne. 1992. "Fertility transition, conscious choice and numeracy." Demography 29:487-502.

Waite, Linda J. 1995. “Does marriage matter?”  Demography 32:483-507.

MORTALITY AND MORBIDITY

Caldwell, J. 1986. “Routes to Low Mortality in Poor Countries.” Population and Development Review 12(2):171-220.

Cleland, J.G. and J.K. van Ginneken. 1988. “Maternal Education and Child Survival in Developing Countries: The Search for Pathways of Influence.” Social Science and Medicine 27(12):1357-68. Unavailable

Condran, Gretchen and Samuel H. Preston. 1994. “Child Mortality Differences, Personal Health Care Practices, and Medical Technology: The United States, 1900-1930.” In Health and Social Change in International Perspective, L.C. Chen, A.

Kleinman and N.C. Ware, eds. Harvard Series on Population and International Health. Boston, MA: Harvard University Press, pages 171-224.

Crimmins, E.M., M.D. Hayward, and Y. Saito. 1994. "Changing Mortality and Morbidity Rates and the Health Status and Life Expectancy of the Older Population." Demography 31(1):159-75.

Desai, S. and S. Alva. 1998. “Maternal Education and Child Health: Is There a Strong Causal Relationship?”  Demography 35(1): 71-81.

Elo, I.T. and S.H. Preston. 1992. “Effects of Early-life Conditions on Adult Mortality: A Review.” Population Index 58(2):186-212. Unavailable

Guha, S. 1994. “The Importance of Social Interventions in England’s Mortality Decline: The Evidence Reviewed.” Social History of Medicine 7(1):89-113.  Unavailable

Hill, Kenneth and Dawn M. Upchurch, 1995, “Gender Differences in Child Health: Evidence from the Demographic and Health Surveys,” Population and Development Review 21(1):127-151

Horiuchi, Shiro and John R. Wilmoth. 1998. "Deceleration in the Age Pattern of Mortality at Older Ages." Demography 35(4):391-412.

Hummer, R.A., R. G. Rogers, and I.W. Eberstein. 1998. “Sociodemographic Approaches to Differentials in Adult Mortality: A Review of Analytic Approaches.” Population and Development Review 24(3):553-578.

Kannisto, Väinö, Jens Lauritsen, A. Roger Thatcher, James W. Vaupel. 1994.
"Reductions in Mortality at Advanced Ages: Several Decades of Evidence from 27 Countries.” Population and Development Review 20(4):793-810.

Manton KG, Corder L, Stallard E. 1997. “Chronic disability trends in elderly United States populations: 1982-1994". Proc Natl Acad Sci 94(6):2593-8.  

Manton KG, Stallard E, Corder L. 1997. “Changes in the age dependence of mortality and disability: cohort and other determinants.” Demography. 34(1):135-57.

McKeown, T., R.G. Record, and R.D. Turner. 1975. An interpretation of the decline in mortality in England and Wales during the twentieth century. Population Studies 29(3):391-422.

Menchik, P.L. 1993. “Economic Status as a Determinant of Mortality among Black and White Older Men: Does Poverty Kill?” Population Studies 47(3):427-36.

Mosley, W.H. and L. Chen. 1984. An analytic framework for the study of child survival in developing countries, in W.H. Mosley and L. Chen, eds., Child Survival: Strategies for Research, Supplement to Volume 10 of Population and Development Review: 25-45.

Omran, A.R. 1982. “Epidemiologic Transition,” in International Encyclopedia of Population, New York: The Free Press: 172-183.

Preston, Samuel H., et al. 1996. "African-American Mortality at Older Ages: Results of a Matching Study." Demography 33(2):193-09.

Preston, S.H. 1976. Mortality Patterns in National Populations. New York: Academic Press. Chapter 4: Contribution of Economic Factors to Declines in Mortality during the Twentieth Century (pp.62-88).

Rahman, O., J. Strauss, P. Gertler, D. Ashley, and K. Fox. 1994. “Gender Differences in Adult Health: An International Comparison.” The Gerontologist 34(4):463-469.

Rogers, R., Hummer, R., and Nam, C.  2000. Living and Dying in the USA. New York: Academic.

Szreter, S. 1988. “The Importance of Social Intervention in Britain's Mortality Decline c. 1850-1914: A Re-interpretation of the Role of Public Health.” Social History of Medicine 1:1-38. Unavailable

Szreter, S. 1994. “Mortality in England in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries: A Reply to Guha.” Social History of Medicine 7(2): 369-382. Unavailable

Tabutin, D. and E. Akoto. 1992. “Socioeconomic and cultural differentials in the mortality of Sub-Saharan Africa.” In Mortality and Society in Sub-Saharan Africa, E.

van de Walle, G. Pison, and M. Sala-Diakanda, eds. Oxford: Clarendon Press, pp.32-64.

White, K.M. and S.H. Preston. 1996. “How Many Americans Are Alive Because of Twentieth Century Improvements in Mortality? Population and Development Review 22(3): 415-429.

MIGRATION

Alba, Richard and Victor Nee. 2003. Remaking the American Mainstream: Assimilation and Contemporary Migration. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press

Borjas, George. 1999. Heaven’s Door: Immigration Policy and the American Economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

Castles, Stephen and Mark J. Miller. 1996. “The Migratory Process and the Formation of Ethnic Minorities,” Chapter 2 in The Age of Migration: International Population Movements in the Modern World. London: Macmillan.
Ethnic and Racial Studies Special Issue: Transnational Communities. Vol.22, 1999

Gordon, Milton M. 1964. Assimilation in American Life. The Role of Race, Religion, and National Origins. New York, NY: Oxford University Press.

Hatton, Timothy J. and Jeffrey G. Williamson. 1998. The Age of Mass Migration: Causes and Economic Impact. New York, NY: Oxford University Press.

Hondagneu-Sotelo, Pierrette. 1994. Gendered Transitions. Mexican Experiences of Immigration. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.

Huntington, Samuel. 2004. Who are we? The Challenges to America’s National Identity. New York, NY:Simon and Schuster. Levitt, Peggy. 2001. The Transnational Villagers. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.

Lieberson, Stanley. 1980. A Piece of the Pie. Blacks and White immigrants since 1880. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.

Massey, D.S., J. Arango, G. Hugo, A. Kouaouchi, a. Pellegrino, and J.E. Taylor. 1993. "Theories of international migration: a review and appraisal." Population and Development Review 19:431-66.

Massey, D.S., J. Arango, G. Hugo, A. Kouaouchi, a. Pellegrino, and J.E. Taylor. 1994. "An evaluation of international migration theory: The North American case." Population and Development Review 20:699-752.

Massey, Douglas S., Jorge Durand, and Nolan Malone. 2002. Beyond Smoke and Mirrors. Mexican Immigration in and Era of Economic Integration. New York, NY: Russell Sage.

Piore, Michael J. 1979. Birds of Passage: Migrant Labor in Industrial Societies. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Portes, Alejandro and Ruben Rumbaut. 1990. Immigrant America: A Portrait. Berkeley: University of California Press.

Portes, Alejandro and Rubén G. Rumbaut. 2001.  Legacies. The Story of the Immigrant Second Generation. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press and Russell Sage.

Stark, Odded. 1991. The Migration of Labor. Cambridge: Basil Blackwell
Zhou, Min and Carl L. Bankston III. 1998. Growing Up American. How Vietnamese Children Adapt to Life in the United States. New York, NY: Russell Sage.

Waldinger, Roger. 1999. Still the Promised City? African-Americans and New Immigrants in Postindustrial New York. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.

Waters, Mary. 1999. Black Identities: West Indian Immigrant Dreams and American Realities. New York, NY: Russell Sage and Harvard University Press.

THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION

Coale, Ansley J. and Susan Cotts Watkins (Eds.)  1986. The Decline of Fertility in Europe. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
National Research Council. 1986. Population Growth and Economic Development: Policy Questions. Washington:  National Academy Press.

Lee, James and Wang Feng. 1999. “Malthusian models and Chinese realities: china’s demographic system 1700-2000.” Population and Development Review 25:33-65 .

Kirk, D. (1996). "Demographic Transition Theory." Population Studies, 50(3), 361-387.

POPULATION COMPOSITION, AGING, AND INEQUALITY

Martin, Linda G. and Samuel H. Preston (Eds.).  1994. Demography of Aging. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.

Martin, Linda G. and Beth H. Soldo (Eds.). 1997. Racial and Ethnic Differences in the Health of Older Americans. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.

Massey, Douglas S. (1996) “The Age of Extremes: Concentrated Affluence and Poverty in the Twenty­ First Century”. Demography 33: 395-412.
 See also comments by Danziger, Farley, and Hout et al. and reply by Massey in same issue.

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Pampel, F. 1994. “Population Aging, Class Context, and Age Inequality in Public Spending.” American Journal of Sociology 100:153-195.

Preston, Samuel H.  1984. "Children and the Elderly:  Divergent Paths for America's Dependents,"   Demography 21:435-57.

Wachter, Kenneth H. and Caleb E. Finch (Eds.).  1997. Between Zeus and the Salmon: The Biodemography of Longevity. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.

DEMOGRAPHIC METHODS General References on Demographic Methods

Halli, Shiva S. and K. Vaninadha Rao. 1992. Advanced Techniques of Population Analysis. New York:  Plenum.  A volume in the Plenum Series in Demographic Methods and Population Analysis.

Preston, Samuel H., Patrick Heuveline, and Michel Guillot.  2000. Elements of Demographic Accounting. New York: Blackwell.

Shyrock, Henry S. and Jacob S. Siegel and Associates. 1976. The Methods and Materials of Demography. New York: Academic Press.

Methods for Family and Fertility Analysis

Bongaarts, John and Griffith Feeney. 1998. “On the Quantum and Tempo of Fertility.”  Population and Development Review 24:271-291.

Bongaarts, John, Thomas Burch and Kenneth Wachter (Eds.),  1987. Family Demography: Methods and Their Applications. Oxford: Claredon Press.

Campbell, Arthur A.  1983. Manual of Fertility Analysis. Edinburgh: Churchill Livingtone.

Coale, Ansley J. 1971. "Age Patterns of Marriage," Population Studies 25:193-214.

Coale, Ansley J. and T. James Trussell.  1974. "Model Fertility Schedules: Variations in the Age Structure of Childbearing in Human Populations,"  Population Index 40:185-201.

Entwisle, B., A.I. Hermalin, P. Kamnuansilpa, and A. Chamratrithirong.  1984. "A Multilevel Model of Family Planning Availability and Contraceptive Use in Rural Thailand,"   Demography 21:559-74.

Esphenshade, Thomas J. and R. Braun.  1982. "Life Course Analysis and Multistate Demography:  An Application to Marriage, Divorce, and Remarriage,"  Journal of Marriage and the Family 44:1025-1036.

Keilman, Nico, Anton Kuijsten, and Ad Vosson. 1988. Modeling Household Formation and Dissolution. Oxford: Claredon Press.

Mortality Analysis, Life Table and Stable Population Models

Coale, Ansley J. and Paul Demeny.  1983. Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations. Second Edition. New York: Academic Press.

Keyfitz, Nathan. 1985. Applied Mathematical Demography. Second Edition. New York: Wiley.

Keyfitz, Nathan and Wilhelm Flieger.  1990. World Population Growth and Aging: Demographic Trends in the Late Twentieth Century. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.

Manton, Kenneth G. and Eric Stallard. 1984. Recent Trends in Mortality Analysis. New York: Academic Press.

Namboodiri, Krishnan and C. M. Suchindran.  1987. Life Table Techniques and Their Application. New York: Academic Press.

Preston, Samuel H. and Ansley J. Coale.  1982. "Age Structure, Growth, Attrition, and Accession: A New Synthesis," Population Index 48:217-259.

Rogers, Andrei. 1992. "Heterogeneity and Selection in Multistate Population Analysis,"  Demography 29:31-38.

Schoen, Robert. 1988. Modeling Multigroup Populations. New York: Plenum.  A volume in the Plenum Series in Demographic Methods and Population Analysis.

Schoen, Robert. 1988. "Practical Uses of Multistate Population Models," Annual Review of Sociology 14:341-361.

Smith, David P.  1992. Formal Demography. New York: Plenum.  A volume in the Plenum Series in Demographic Methods and Population Analysis.

Methods for Migration Analysis

Castro, L.J. and A. Rogers. 1983. "Patterns of Family Migration:  Two Methodological Approaches," Environment and Planning A 15:237-254. Unavailable

Esphenshade, Thomas J., Leon Bouvier, and W. Brian Arthur.  1982. "Immigration and the Stable Population Model," Demography 19:125-133.

Rogers, Andrei. 1988. "Age patterns of Elderly Migration:  An International Comparison,"  Demography 25:355-370.

Methods for the Study of Aging, Cohort Analysis and Social Change

Bhrolchain, Maire Ni. 1992. "Period Paramount? A Critique of the Cohort Approach to Fertility," Population and Development Review 18:599-629.

Hobcraft, John., Jane Menken, and Samuel Preston. 1982. "Age, Period and Cohort Effects in Demography:  A Review," Population Index 48:4-43.

Ryder, Norman B.  1965. "The Cohort as a concept in the Study of Social Change," American Sociological Review 30:843-861.

Schaie, K.W., R.T. Campbell, W. Meredith and S.C. Rawlings (Eds.).  1988. Methodological Issues in Aging Research. New York: Springer.

Hazards Regression and Event History Analysis Methods

Allison, Paul D. 1984. Event History Analysis: Regression for Longitudinal Event Data. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage.

Hayward, Mark D. and William R. Grady.  1990. "Work and Retirement Among a Cohort of Older Men in the United States, 1966-1983," Demography 27:337-356.

Land, Kenneth C., Jack M. Guralnik, and Dan G. Blazer. 1993. "Estimating Increment-Decrement Life Tables with Multiple Covariates from Panel Data,"  Demography 30: 297-319

Manton, Kenneth G. and Eric Stallard. 1988. Chronic Disease Modelling. New York: Oxford University Press.

Menken, Jane., James Trussell, Debra Stempel, and Ozer Babakol.  1981. "Proportional Hazards Life Table Models: An Illustrative Analysis of Sociodemographic influences on Marriage Dissolution in the United States," Demography 18:181-200.

Teachman, Jay D. and Mark D. Hayward.  1993. "Interpreting Hazard Rate Models.” Sociological Methods and Research 21:340-371. Unavailable.

Trussell, James and Charles Hammerslough.  1983. "A Hazards-Model Analysis of the Covariates of Infant and Child Mortality in Sri Lanka,"  Demography 20:1-26

Trussell, James., Richard Hankinson, and Judith Tilton (Eds.).  1992. Demographic Applications of Event History Analysis. Oxford: Claredon Press.

Yamaguchi, Kazuo.  1991. Event History Analysis. Newbury Park, CA: Sage.

Population Forecasting Models and Methods

Ahlburg, Dennis A. and Kenneth C. Land (Eds.). 1992. "Special Issue: Population Forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting 8, Number 3, November.  Unavailable.

Land, Kenneth C. 1986. "Methods for National Population Forecasts:  A Review," Journal of the American Statistical Association 81:888-902.

Lutz, Wolfgang, James W. Vaupel, and Dennis A. Ahlburg (Eds.).  1999. “Frontiers of Population Forecasting.” A Supplement to Vol. 24, 1998, Population and Development Review

National Research Council. 2000. Beyond Six Billion: Forecasting the World’s Population. Panel on Population Projections. John Bongaarts and Rodolfo A. Bulatao, eds. Committee on Population, Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education. Washington, D.C.:National
Academy Press.