Life Tables
Sociology 215: Demographic Methods
Morgan (pmorgan@soc.duke.edu) from Smith
1. The following table is part of a life table for the total (male and female) population of
California in 1970.
| x |
lx |
nLx |
Tx |
x |
dx |
nmx |
nqx |
nax |
| 0 |
100000 |
99090 |
7188601 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
98186 |
392111 |
7089511 |
72.20 |
|
|
|
|
| 5 |
97870 |
488888 |
6697400 |
68.43 |
|
|
|
|
| 10 |
97686 |
487971 |
6208512 |
63.56 |
|
|
|
|
| 15 |
97503 |
486140 |
5720541 |
58.67 |
|
|
|
|
| 20 |
96954 |
|
5234401 |
53.99 |
|
|
|
|
| 25 |
96204 |
479316 |
4751510 |
49.39 |
|
|
|
|
| 30 |
95523 |
475697 |
4272194 |
44.72 |
|
|
|
|
| 35 |
94757 |
471129 |
3796497 |
40.07 |
|
|
|
|
| 40 |
93697 |
|
|
35.49 |
|
|
|
|
| 45 |
92115 |
454420 |
2860849 |
31.06 |
|
|
|
|
| 50 |
89664 |
439191 |
2406429 |
26.84 |
|
|
|
|
| 55 |
86038 |
416716 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 60 |
80705 |
385365 |
1550522 |
19.21 |
|
|
|
|
| 65 |
73551 |
343572 |
1165157 |
15.84 |
|
|
|
|
| 70 |
64094 |
290789 |
821585 |
12.82 |
|
|
|
|
| 75 |
52600 |
225959 |
530796 |
10.09 |
|
|
|
|
| 80 |
38514 |
153145 |
304837 |
7.91 |
|
|
|
|
| 85 |
23901 |
151692 |
|
6.35 |
|
|
|
|
- Fill in the missing values in the third through fifth columns, and all the values in
the sixth through ninth columns.
- If I had failed to give you the lx values at each age, you would not have been able
to calculate the dx, nmx, nqx, and nax columns-at least not without some strong
assumptions. Assume that I had not given you the values in the lx column, but
instead had given you the values for one of the four other columns with omitted
values (i.e., the dx, nmx, nqx, or nax column): Show how-if possible-the entire life
table could be derived-without any assumptions. General formulas are fine; there
is no point in simply reproducing the same table over and over; I want to know
how you would derive the other four columns (e.g., lx, nmx, nqx, and nax if you were
given dx). And, yes, you can continue to assume that you know nLx, Tx, and x.
- This particular life table was calculated under the assumption that death rates
within each age group are constant (i.e., the instantaneous death rate is assumed to
be the same at each point within the interval x to x+n. If I had not told you this,
how, on the basis of the life table you derived in response to part A, might you
have suspected and/or deduced this?
- For the nax values that you calculated, substitute a set of nax values that you borrow
and/or derive from Tables 3.2 and 3.3 of Preston and Heuveline. (How exactly
should you borrow and/or derive them? This is inevitably a judgment call-yours.
Just have a rationale for whatever it is that you do.) With this new set of nax
values, calculate a new value for life expectancy at birth (0).
- Imagine that the original life table (i.e., the one filled in under part A) were a
stationary population.
- What are the chances that someone who reaches age 30 survives to age
60?
- How many people in the population?
- What is the population's crude birth rate?
- At what average age do people who survive to age 1 die?
- How many 75th birthdays are there annually?
- What proportion of the population is over age 65?