The Wireless Service Industry

Table 1 -- Global Wireless Growth Projections by Region

Subscribers (in Millions) 1998 1999 2000 (estimated) 2001 (estimated) 2002 (estimated) 2003 (estimated)
North America 74.4 92.9 115.4 144.4 177.0 207.4
Europe 99.7 168.0 243.0 323.0 403.0 483.0
Asia/Pacific 101.9 151.0 216.0 301.0 411.0 551.0
Latin America 21.7 37.0 57.0 80.0 106.0 136.0
Africa/ME 11.4 22.8 38.8 58.8 83.8 113.8
TOTAL 309.1 471.7 670.2 907.1 1,180.7 1,491.2

 

Ending Subs. % of Total 1998 1999 2000 (estimated) 2001 (estimated) 2002 (estimated) 2003 (estimated)
North America 24.1 19.7 17.2 15.9 15.0 13.9
Europe 32.2 35.6 36.3 35.6 34.1 32.4
Asia/Pacific 33.0 32.0 32.2 33.2 34.8 37.0
Latin America 7.0 7.8 8.5 8.8 9.0 9.1
Africa/ME 3.7 4.8 5.8 6.5 7.1 7.8
TOTAL 100 100 100 100 100 100

Source: Merrill Lynch.  The Next Generation IV: Wireless in the US.  March 10, 2000.

 

Figure 2

Source: CTIA.  http://www.wow-com.com/

 

Corporate Presence

 

 

Table 2 -- Telecommunications (Cellular/Wireless)
Industry Revenue Share (03/31/2000)
(Industry Leaders Ranked by 12 Month Moving Sales)

Industry
Leaders
Ticker Symbol
Revenue Share (%)
Sales 12 Month Moving (mil)
Sales 1 Yr Chng (%)
VODAFONE AIRTOUCH PLC VOD 12.88 5423.040 30.9
AIRTOUCH COMMUNICATIONS INC ATI.1 12.30 5181.000 -75.5
CABLE & WIRELESS COMM CWZ 10.05 4230.294 11.9
SPRINT PCS GROUP PCS 7.55 3180.000 159.5
NEXTEL COMMUNICATIONS NXTL 6.98 2937.613 92.0
ROGERS COMMUNICATION RG 4.76 2002.966 8.9
SPRINT SPECTRUM 3604B 4.35 1832.248 157.8
US CELLULAR CORP USM 3.26 1373.393 25.8
TELESP CELULAR PART SA TCP 2.85 1198.300
PAGING NETWORK INC PAGE 2.44 1026.240 -1.5
TELE SUDESTE CELULAR TSD 2.25 945.332 45.0
BCE MOBILE COMMUNICATIONS BCX 2.00 841.750 -33.8
ROGERS CANTEL MOB COM RCN 1.95 820.206 -4.9
NETCOM AB NECS 1.95 819.515 29.5
COMSAT CORP CQ 1.47 618.463 3.9
METROCALL INC MCLL 1.45 610.187 31.3
TELESYS INTL WIRELESS INC TIWI 1.39 584.859 118.4
WESTERN WIRELESS CORP WWCA 1.35 567.341 36.2
SKYTEL COMMUNICATIONS INC SKYT 1.31 551.383 23.9
BELL CANADA INTL INC BCICF 1.30 546.597 23.2
ARCH COMMUNICATIONS GROUP APGR 1.29 544.568 32.5
MILLICOM INTL CELLULAR SA MICC 1.16 489.117 22.0
COMCAST CELLULAR CORP 9659B 1.09 459.662 3.0
VOICESTREAM WIRELESS CORP VSTR 1.08 454.122 170.4
CENTENNIAL COMMUN CP CYCL 1.06 445.355 53.8
VANGUARD CELLULAR SYS VCELA 1.00 421.706 264.7

Total Industry Sales 42106.018

Source: Standard & Poor's Market Insight
Telecommunications (Cellular/Wireless) Industry
http://umi.compustat.com/cgi-mi-auth/mihome.cgi?tab=industry

 

Table 3 -- Wireless Service Leaders in the US Market -- 1999

Bell Atlantic/GTE/Vodafone Airtouch 29.4
AT&T Wireless w/ Partnership Markets 14.2
SBC Communications 13.0
Sprint PCS 6.7
BellSouth 6.2
ALLTEL 5.8
Nextel 5.3
GSM Operators 3.2
Other 16.3

 

There are a considerable number of mergers and acquisitions within this industry.  Some are:

The end result of consolidation is that small firms are absorbed or driven out of business.  Large firms are better able to dictate terms to the industry.  However, at this time, there are enough firms to avoid any one firm to dominate the industry.  Intense price competition will keep competition in this industry for some time to come.

The case studies below illustrate the dynamics of this industry:

SprintPCS

AT&T Wireless

Vodafone

 

     
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